Richard Berendzen, Ph.D.
Dr. Berendzen is a Professor Emeritus at The American University and Director
of The District of Columbia Space Grants Consortium. A former President of
The American University, he has also served as a consultant to the National
Academy of Sciences and NASA Headquarters.
Dr. Berendzen is a member of the Advisory Board of the Planetary Society
and was founding editor of the Journal of College Science.
Dr. Berendzen has published, in audio cassette format, "Pulp Physics" - on
physics, astronomy and our daily lives. The Woodrow Wilson International
Center for Scholars in association with Smithsonian Productions published
an audio CD - "A History of the Heavens - A Dialog Interview with Dr. Berendzen"
in 1998.
His books include: "Man Discovers the Galaxies" (Co-author); "Touch the Future:
An Agenda for Global Education in America" ; and "Is My Armor Straight: A
Year in the Life of a University President".
Dr. Berendzen received a BS from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology
(MIT), and MA and Ph.D degrees from Harvard University in 1967. He also has
been awarded several honorary doctoral degrees.
Source: Dr. Berendzen and The American University
|
Education
Forces of Change in Global Education
Interview with Richard Berendzen, Ph.D.
Richard Berendzen, Ph.D.
Professor Emeritus, The American University
with David W. Alvey, Executive Director and Editor - Diplomatic Planet
Introduction - Fundamental shifts at the higher education levels in who is
being educated and where that education will take place and the need to attract
and retain teachers within the traditional University setting are just large
pieces of the puzzle that colleges and universities are trying to sort out.
The changes in the student population, where the teaching experience will
occur, and the growth in the amount of information and the amount of knowledge
that has to be sorted and differentiated - are real areas of focus and concern
for the educator of the 21st Century.
The Forces of Change in Higher Education
DPlanet: Dr. Berendzen, what is the framework from which to look at Innovation
as a focal process in the Academic sector - what are the trends and issues
that you see as creating the opportunities for innovation ?
Dr. Berendzen: Looking first at the United States, higher education is going
through an interesting and significant transformation that is fundamentally
driven by changing demographics. In the US we have an ever increasing number
of 18 year olds, while the percentage of these 18 year old high school graduates
who would like to go on to college is increasing as well. Interestingly,
these "on to college" increases predominantly are women.
The stereotype of a college student as being an American born male of European
ancestry is rapidly changing. The students of the next decade or two in the
US at the college level will increasingly be female, I would guess that it
will be over 60% soon. If you take out certain fields like engineering and
business administration and a few others, then it is already well over 60%.
Increasingly, the college population in the US will be of non- European
backgrounds.
Community colleges and junior colleges particularly will burdgeon in enrollments
but all of higher education will likely have more students.
There will be degree inflation over the next two or three decades. The bachelor's
degree will increasingly be a stepping stone to a Master's degree. At the
beginning of the 20th century, back in 1900, very few people had a bachelor's
degree - practically no one had a doctorate. Today bachelor degrees are common,
Master's degrees are fairly common and there are a fair number of Ph.D's.
In ten or fifteen years, Master's degrees will be as common as bachelor's
were just twenty years ago in the United States.
The fields of concentration will continue to be much oriented towards where
the jobs seem to be - technology professions and also healthcare - and things
which deal with an aging population. In the next forty years the fastest
growing population group will clearly be those over the age of sixty. In
fact, people over the age of eighty is the fasting growing cohort of all.
There is an increasing number of people in the US who do not speak English
as a native language. This creates not just an issue of bilingual education,
but higher education must deal with the diversity of cultures and backgrounds
- making integration an imperative at all levels.
These changes mean that the traditional Euro-centric education which has
been the heart of the US educational system for the last hundred years will
probably remain that focus, but its "centricity" also needs to be rethought.
We have to realize that we live in a multi cultural, interlocked world --
not just in business and the Internet, but in everything we do. From the
weather to ozone layers, from scientific research to cultural fashions to
pop culture - all of these are inter-related and now resonate around the
planet.
Impact Areas
How do these elements translate into the actual delivery of the educational
system ? Internet has become increasingly significant in US higher education.
In the last five or six years, PCs are prevalent everywhere, students
increasingly go online to get their resources rather than going to a conventional
library. Now we have an interesting challenge as to what differentiates knowledge
versus learning - knowing versus learning. When do you simply find information
and when do you understand that information ? If your computer search engine
has found a resource of material for you and if in fact it has more or less
synthesized that resource - what has the student learned ? - or will the
mere process of learning how to have the computer work for you become the
learning process in itself ?
The higher education system must re-define what we mean by 'learning'.
Every Generation Faces Technological Advance !
New technology is something that each generation has faced for at least the
last 7,000 years. For this generation it has been the process of having your
computer carry out a set of tasks, back a generation or two it was television,
before that it was electricity itself, and automobiles. The technological
innovations go back to the very first beginnings of technology, four or five
thousand years B.C. and they always seem new and jolting to every new generation
that had to encounter them.
For the educators of the next twenty years, we really have to ask ourselves
if online education by chat rooms and email, without the contact with the
teacher - is that the same thing ? What is the role of the human being in
the process ? Is cyber learning, cyber teaching, cyber discussion, cyber
everything the exact equivalent, the modern replacement for old human
interaction. Maybe it is, maybe we need a new paradigm and we have not yet
become accustomed and comfortable with this.
But before we immediately assume that Internet and computers are going to
dominate the planet, lets remember that a generation or two ago many people
said that the professors and teachers would be replaced, well before the
end of the 20th century, by television sets. That didn't happen. It didn't
happen because people need people and seem to need the human interaction.
Learning to Use Technology is Our Challenge
I think the innovations that are needed now in education are to understand
how to use new amazingly powerful technologies and yet at the same time maintain
the humaneness, the human-ness, of the education process.
That college student of 2015, the young person who is perhaps ten or fifteen
years from college today, needs to learn not only facts, needs to learn not
only procedures for the computers and other devices, but that person needs
to learn how to be a human being, how to live within that multi-cultural
society and needs to be taught what it means to be a cultured, refined, caring
and involved human being in a multi cultural environment.
The Global Impact
What about the rest of the world ? The United States is not the only nation
that is going through these transitions, Western Europe and much of Asia
are facing similar issues.
But now we come to the painful part - those who are left out. I suspect that
the primary beneficiaries of these new technologies will not be people now
residing in what are called the third world countries, the developing nations.
They will not have the benefit of large, well stocked libraries, museums
or teaching corps in place who can instruct students as we would expect in
some of the industrialized nations.
Even the term 'industrialized nation' which we use as a gentle way of referring
to those nations with higher per capita incomes than those who do not, is
archaic. It is a term not from the 20th century, but from the 18th and 19th
centuries as England, France, Belgium and eventually the United States, all
became industrial powers.
The argument was made by Daniel Bell and many others decades ago that the
US had become a post-industrialized society. There is no doubt about it,
today the US is predominantly a service society and increasingly so.
Industrialization in the US, as people know, is dropping as a percentage
of our GNP. But what about these countries that have not even reached the
industrial threshold, much less the level of post industrial ?
Technology - Advances and Barriers
On the one hand the Internet and these new technologies offer them the
opportunity of getting in to The Hermitage, into the Library of Congress,
into places that their students and their teachers could not otherwise, possibly,
access. On the other hand, they have to have the technology - the computers
and the modems - and they have to have fundamentally the electricity and
the phone-lines, (there will come a time where phone lines of course are
unnecessary).
But most of all, they have to have the resources, which includes human resources.
They have to have people who understand how to do this. It is not enough
to simply have a computer with the modem and give it to an untutored student
with no guidance whatsoever. Perhaps it would be better than the current
situation, but it would not be sufficient.
Remember that you are dealing in the third world and developing nations arena
with countries that are plagued with other societal problems. These problems
are so profound that they make new knowledge, learning and education almost
seem secondary, tertiary or not even relevant on the scale of what is possible.
When you have countries, as in sub-Sahara Africa for example, in which the
reported HIV level is 50% of whole blocs of the population from age twenty
to fifty, then how can you expect them to turn resolutely to education. But
if they do not allocate resources to education, then they will sink further
behind on the world economic scheme.
Balancing Reality with Hope
After that painful picture, there are pockets of good news.
I believe that there is genuine opportunity for many countries that have
been traditionally referred to as pre-industrial or non industrial, or as
developing nations - a good example is India.
India is already becoming a major leaguer in computer technology. Indeed
much of the banking in the US is now done in India, with the transactions
carried out electronically. Americans who receive cost benefits from having
those data collected and analyzed offshore never realize that their information
has been shipped to Bombay, worked on and then shot back here at the speed
of the Internet.
So the technologies, and indeed the wealth, which is going to develop in
some of those countries, I think, is enormous. When you realize how much
Internet has expanded and how much it has changed the economy of the US --
when you realize that these small and large technology firms are driving
the world economy -- and then you couple that with the fact that only a minute
fraction of the world population of 6 billion today are wired, then you see
that the potential for growth is utterly staggering.
Teaching the Next Level of Technology
What does this mean to the educator ? You cannot have all of this teaching
without having the teachers. There are the obvious issues of being wired
and modems, but there is perhaps the less obvious and yet more fundamental
problem of whether you've got a well trained teaching corps in place that
understands these technologies and encourages the learners to learn.
We have not yet reached the educational opportunity for the vast majority
of the world's population and will we ever be able to ? Will their countries
permit it, will their cultures welcome it, will their economy enable it,
and will the teachers be there to do it ?
Technology Doesn't Ease the Burden of Teaching
The innovation in Academics that has got to take place is multi-fold. The
complexity of these opportunities is a real burden on the educators of the
future. It might seem superficially that their task might be less because
the computer technology might do the work for them.
But I would argue that it might just be the reverse. Because the teachers
themselves will have to keep up with a new changing technology which will
require life long learning, not only for the students but for the educators.
So literally, we never stop learning.
In the United States, twenty five years ago, there was a program started
called ElderHostel. It was intended for people who would normally be called
retirees and they continue on learning. It is a model I believe which will
apply not just for those people and not just in the US, but literally worldwide.
Education and the Innovation of Education are going to start with pre
kindergarten children, two to four year olds who will be using mouses and
going on Internet and playing games over computers as they are today in some
specialized schools. Those skills will become routine and the learning process
will continue on the rest of their lives.
The 20th Century Versus the 21st Century
I suspect that all of the innovation and change that so dazzles us this century
- going back from the Wright brothers to today, - we went after all from
Kitty Hawk to the Lunar landing, we have even left the Solar System with
our probes, in one century - If that is what we did in less than one hundred
years, then imagine what the next few decades may bring in new technological
change.
DPlanet. What are the resources needed to underwrite the growth of the Educator
and that high level of Innovation that you have described ?
Dr. Berendzen:With respect to resources needed, it is moneys for many things.
It is clearly moneys for the computers and the software, and the technology
to have it linked, but it is also for the teacher preparation. And where
then will that come from ?
In the United States we say that education is at a local level, its in the
local community, then up to the state level, and to a lesser degree to a
national level - only about 5% of the higher education budget is at the federal
level and that is mostly for student loans.
In the United States these resources will come partially from tax moneys,
largely at the city and state level, lesser at the national level. They will
come out of private individual's pockets - but they are also going to come
increasingly out of business and industry itself because industry already
realizes the importance of continuing education for its employees.
Business's Self Interest in Education
Increasingly, I believe, business and industry will realize the importance
of pre-education, the education prior to ever getting that employee and then
the continuing education of its employees. I believe that business and industry
will want to support not only the public schools, but specialized education
that applies to their fields of enterprise.
For the rest of the world, it will be a similar model, but sometimes more
difficult where there is not the free market system that applies so well
in the US. Whether the resources will come from international agencies, I
don't know.
But there will certainly be large efforts for that. Major foundations such
as Ford, and Carnegie and others will no doubt give funds for it. I suspect
that some of the technology moguls of today, the Bill Gates's, and the others,
may make contributions, but those contributions will be small compared to
the actual, international needs.
So I imagine that some of the third world and developing nations are going
to continue to find, in spite of all of the best will and good efforts of
everyone - that there will be a real gap between what they need and what
they get.
DPlanet: That leads into the Hyper Tier Network Divide - particularly when
you look at institutions where you have the resources and the brand name,
the archival content, the intellectual, proprietary teaching material that
can be monetized - referring to the relationship that you described between
the commercial area and the academic area.
Dr. Berendzen: That seems to be a result of this, but it is just hard to
take a hazy glance into the smog of the future. In 1900, what were the major
business names in the United States ? Some of them have now gone into oblivion.
Others are still around, but they are hardly the major names -- US Steel,
the petroleum companies which were broken apart by the laws to stop
monopolization. In 1900 nobody had heard of IBM, nobody had heard of Microsoft,
or Intel.
So I suspect that many of the industry leaders and the business leaders of
the next thirty years have yet even to come into being or be well defined.
The Risk of the Digital Divides Appears Real
But globally, the issue for educators is going to be, if they don't have
the resources, if they don't have the vision, if they don't have national
leaders, heads of state and major educators - if they don't have statesmen
of such vision, that can understand how there are not just challenges, but
there are opportunities here, it will definitely create a divide.
Either they get on it, or they don't. Either they take advantage of these
new opportunities or they fall almost irretrievably far behind. And the real
decision time on that is coming, I believe, in the next ten years.
If nations have not started to wire themselves, if they have not started
to educate their teachers and their professoriate to be prepared to teach
their students, if they have not assembled the money from either their own
resources or from international agencies to enable this to happen, with a
clear cut, visible and realistic plan of where and what is going to happen,
not broad generalities, but actual facts -- then I think those countries
are going to fall increasingly far behind, and they are going to be left
into basic cottage industries of doing hand goods while the rest of the world
is moving into technologies that we haven't even begun to invent.
Its Not Just Telecommunications Technology
We are focusing here on Internet and information technology companies, but
there are whole other domains - bioengineering, genetic engineering, the
human genome project, the space program - these are technologies that are
going to transform this planet more rapidly and more profoundly than anything
we have done in the last hundred years.
The combination of computers and humans, artificial automata, parts of your
body like the old Six Million Dollar Man on the television show in the US
of a few decades ago, will increasingly become a reality. These changes require
not only the knowledge about computers and information technology, but also
about genetics and greater understanding of the human body.
The whole area of space exploration and astronomy is a different topic, but
it is as vast as the cosmos itself.
The nations that do not catch up with this, as I said, will be left almost
irretrievably behind. They are going to watch from the sidelines while other
nations land human beings on Mars, and drill down beneath the surface of
Europa, and as others take genes apart and reassemble them.
Labor and "Tech" Labor
DPlanet: That would encourage patterns of migration from populated pockets
that we consider cheap labor markets and out of the developing nations -
if they can accomplish that emigration - to areas where there are education,
health and nutrition access, and tools so that the next generation can step
into these opportunities that you have described.
Dr. Berendzen: I truly believe so. I truly think the limiting factor today
on the further expansion of the US and the global economy as well as the
vitality of the technological era in which we are living is not the speed
of the modem and the speed of your computer, it is human beings.
The shear difficulty of finding enough well-trained, well-educated people
who can continue to be trained to keep up with the changes is the challenge.
Already, industry is finding these difficulties in the United States human
resources.
What would be painful to see is the world divided into those who have these
technologies and skills and talents, and those who do not even come close
to it.
And now we have some very painful things that need to be discussed publicly
and openly. We will always need people to keep the infrastructure of society
running .
We are going to need and to value people who can build things with their
hands - carpenters and plumbers and repair people and auto mechanics. Twenty
years ago, maybe you learned about being an auto mechanic by watching your
friends. In the future it is going to require a real education to learn those
skills. There's no question about it. Those trades and skilled technicians
will become, if anything, more prized in the future, because a smaller percentage
of the population in the future will seek out those jobs.
At the same time, even those fields are already becoming more technological
- cars are becoming increasingly robotic computers -- so it is going to require
new talents and new skills, even for going into those kinds of trades and
technical professions.
Professionals in Fifty Years
DPlanet: What do you suggest then as that perfect world - fifty years from
now - with an expansion into space, with a lot of the basic health problems
solved, or mitigated, the communications abilities truly global and the physical
access, truly global - What does that then give us as an academic or a university
environment for all of these doctorates ?
Dr. Berendzen: There are a multitude of fields for them to go into, and the
hot fields will be not just the computer technology, but things related to
human beings.
The health care profession, tending for the very young, particularly where
the largest population cohort is under the age of 10, and for the very elderly
- I already mentioned the graying of the US society.
Its going to be people going through a painful transition where a whole community
- a small town in New England, for example - is attempting to transform itself
from the industry that has traditionally supported it to something else.
Fifty and sixty years ago there were towns in New England that got most of
their money from making shoes. Well the shoe industry changed and you can't
find those shoe places in New England anymore. The whole industry died and
for a time it seems that those towns faced oblivion.
I suspect you are going to find that happening painfully around the US and
around the rest of the world.
We're going to struggle to find people to work in the agricultural field.
We are going to have to continue to produce food crops after all, but agriculture
is going to increasingly become technological. People will learn better how
to produce more out of one acre so we do not deplenish the mineral content
of that one acre. Its not really an issue of farming as we traditionally
know it, but really a new kind of scientific farmer.
I think people need to be encouraged to know those opportunities exist and
lead to a good livelihood and some dignity, some prosperity and some status.
The Future - Consequences
The future, it seems to me could be extraordinarily bright for industrialized
societies and for the rest of the world, where we can solve diseases and
expand life-expectancies - but there are also potential dangers. Ones with
momentous potential consequence. Dangers which educators should teach about.
Ones which deal with the ethics and propriety of what we are doing, and our
very process.
While the Internet, for example, links us with the world, it also deprives
us, increasingly, of our privacy. Almost everything that we do goes down
to a computer bank somewhere, and somebody, somehow can have access to it.
Who is going to protect our privacy ?
This interplay of using new technology for good versus using it for ill is
as old as technology itself. Mary Shelley, after all, wrote her now famous
book Frankenstein as a parody of that. She was not anti scientific. She was
talking about scientists dealing with the human body and pushing their
experiments to an extreme, and turn it into a creature - what we then call
'The Monster'.
The issue here is for this technology that we are creating not to become
a monster that is out of control or to become our own Frankenstein's Monster.
With all of our advances and information, and education, we don't want to
create something that deprives us of our privacy, that allows our medical
records, our banking transactions, our most private communications, our national
and international secrets to be available to anyone who can crack it and
hack into it. Of course, the US and other countries are talking about spending
billions of dollars to prevent hackers and Cyber terrorists from being able
to do that.
Every Issue - Positives and Negatives
DPlanet: The flip side of the privacy issues is the potential for
mis-information, the use of discredible information and to instantly communicate
propaganda on a global scale - which I define as information that has an
agenda behind it, not fact and not disclosed purpose. The potential there
is very high, and we have to equally safeguard against that as much as we
have to safeguard against the invasion of privacy.
Dr. Berendzen: You are absolutely right and let me phrase it in another way.
I think you are raising a profound issue, that there is so much mis-information
on the Internet, today, it is almost mind boggling.
When I talk with students, they believe that the Internet is like the Holy
Grail. If they can go on-line, they have found Truth. Now that Truth might
be from a government source, it might be from a University, or it might be
from "Bob's Private HomePage", and the student will treat them equally.
The amount of garbage that is out there, some of which is bordering on slander,
and gossip, as well as scientifically untrue information, is outrageous.
On the other hand, dictatorships in the future are going to find it increasingly
difficult to keep the free flow of information outside their borders. Today,
they can somewhat do so because of the limited access to modems and phonelines.
But with a modem-less computer, coming soon and already available in some
communities, that restraint would no longer be possible. No longer can a
dictatorship totally have a closed information system.
DPlanet: Looking at The University - its branded content is supremely valuable,
you know the source, you know it credibility - similar to buying a General
Motors car or a Whirlpool dishwasher, you know what you are getting.
Dr. Berendzen: I have yet to see anyone write and I would like to see it
- an article, on the Internet, or a book, that discusses all of the ying
and yang, the pros and the cons of this new technological era. In particular
go back and liken it, as I did with the Frankenstein analogy, a moment ago.
But there are so many of those goods packaged with potential bads.
When the automobile first originated, look at Charlie Chaplin's famous silent
film parody of what was happening on the assembly line, and its mindless,
boring, awful work and drudgery - Yes, but that assembly line also produces
the vast numbers of goods that we want.
DPlanet: The Ford model, where he had to raise the standard of living of
the labor force to become a consumer - to enable them to enjoy what they
were producing -- is really at the heart of some of your earlier comments
Dr. Berendzen: It is. Ford - even with of his later life anti-semitic tendencies
which made him a less attractive figure -- what he did was shear genius.
Introducing the work week, the minimum wage, producing every single part
of the car, his own forest, his own shipping, his own trucking lines, everything
- making it for the multitudes. His innovation and genius made him the wealthiest
person on the planet.
History as the Teacher
DPlanet: These topics all relate to your interest and teachings in the History
of Science - What perspective should history provide us on these technology-based
issues ?
Dr. Berendzen: Today a substantial percentage of the time of the young people
in the US is spent before a screen - probably a television screen, possibly
a computer monitor.
Who would have thought at the beginning of the 20th Century, who would have
thought in 1950 even, that that would be the case. When television began,
who would have thought that it would take over such a dominating role in
our society.
Who would have thought that people would have spent vast amounts of their
time playing computer games ? It is changing popular culture. It is changing
the way we spend our time.
The most valuable thing that any human ever has is Time. It is the most complex
idea that the human mind has yet embraced except, perhaps, that of "God".
What is Time ? You can't create it, you can't stop it. Is it multi-dimensional
? What is Time ? We only know that we live for a finite amount of it, and
we are spending it, and an increasing percentage of it, on ways that nobody
had anticipated twenty years ago.
What's going to happen over the next several decades ? What I imagine is
that the news industry is going to change, profoundly. We already see it
with the 24 hour day cable television. The conventional idea of a newspaper
and magazine is going to go through a real revolution. I am not sure that
twenty years from now magazines are going to survive, particularly news
magazines. Why would somebody want to buy a magazine which is surveying the
last week or the last month when they can get it on line instantaneous from
two minutes ago, via Internet. It is going to change who is giving us that
information.
Will it remove the spin or will it add spin ? Will it remove the spin of
the particular journalist who is writing it - or will it add the spin of
the commercial providers who allow you access to it ?
I don't know the answer, but what I do know is that our use of film, television,
everything that goes into our senses will undergo changes. Even 'smellavision'
which people have talked about for decades, now becomes realistic. Holograms
projected into your very room, with surround sound on all sides. That technology
should be readily available in ten years.
How this is going to change the use of our time, the use of our education,
I cannot even imagine. But what I do know is that it will !
Culture and Pop Culture
So, popular culture which now commands a sizable fraction of all that we
do, is going to change. I think popular culture will increasingly become
International - not so much just American centric. The US may influence the
rest of the world even more, through its popular culture and secondly, the
information flow of knowledge in terms of news, which is really another form
of education.
Ideal Life ?
DPlanet: Is the ideal then an Internet Services Provider, the franchise of
the future that sells the services and distributes the programs that are
individualized - the news, education, information and activity diet and exercise
for the Brain and the Body ? -- A complete service package that selects what
information gets through to you and when, and what irrelevant noise is avoided
- selecting different diets and regimens of information and interaction depending
on various personal factors.
Dr. Berendzen:We are at the point of overload and so you are going to have
to select very carefully. You realize that the VCR is being replaced by the
DVD, that cassettes are being replaced by CDs and the CDs are being replaced
by something else --- and the vinyl records were the standards from just
fifteen years ago. The turnover rate in technology is incredible and fast.
The implications for the educator and the innovation in education are, to
me, utterly profound. It is like running on a rapid treadmill to keep up
with these changes - changes in absolutely every field - the way the historian
has accessed the information, the way the political scientist understands
his or her field, the way the politician communicates with the public, it
is no longer by giving a stump speech, but by going on the Internet.
And then there is the other side, and I keep stressing that, it is not going
to go away, human interaction, the touching of flesh, the politician seeing
the person, shaking hands, the twinkle in the eye. That physical contact
with others is going to stay an important component as long as human beings
remain.
I do not believe that television and the Internet are going to replace teachers.
It will add to the teaching, it will be new a dimension of teaching, but
human interaction is going to remain vibrant.
I believe that eCommerce is going to boom and boom and boom. Yet, I don't
think that shopping in the conventional sense is going to disappear.
Multi-Generational Machines
DPlanet: We have books that have transferred knowledge across generations;
the Egyptian hieroglyphics have transferred information across millenia.
We have some tapes, wax and wire recordings - intact nickelodeons and original
rolls that reproduce the same sounds today as they did in the 1890's - sounds
and video impressions that are older than a human's life span. But now we
have machines and information and recordings that have their own multi
generational impact. How is Time being measured when machines have viable
lifespans of several hundred years ? - as you mentioned, it is a concept
central to our human experience.
Dr. Berendzen: That is very provocative and deserves an entire discussion.
I happen to believe that artificial automata - robotics - are potentially
one of the dynamic, enormous fields for the 21st Century. We all think of
robots as being cure little R2D2's modeled after a vacuum sweeper - but the
notion of a real artificial automata which not only has a brain in the form
of a computer chip which has a vastly larger memory storage than anything
a human has - that can beat a Kasparov at playing chess, and he said that
it did so unfairly because it knows virtually every move of any master, including
himself - but now we teach the computers to teach themselves.
So they don't just accumulate knowledge, but it is getting very close to
reasoning. And if a computer can begin to reason, as well as adapt so it
can replace its own parts - then you really do wonder if someday the earth
will be inherited by some artificial automata - they have a life span much
greater than our 70 -80 years, more durable, they will be able to think faster
- and think may be the right word, not just memorization.
They are not there yet, but now you get to some interesting and some very
profound questions. If you get artificial automata to that level will it
be moral to kill it ? After all what constitutes killing, what constitutes
life - Does it have a soul, what is a soul, would you know a soul if you
saw it ? Does it have to be biological and organic in nature to be of value
?
These are things that teachers and professors will have to deal with over
the next century, and educators will have to have the cultural, societal,
political and human tools as well as the technological tools in order to
do so.
The Impact on the Quality of Time
The notion about Time and how human beings spend it is such a profound idea
and there has not been enough written about it anyplace that I know.
As a homily - someone told me that when you are born you are given an endowment
of time, an account with exactly that many seconds in your bank. How are
you going to spend that allotment ?
The questions then are also how to make that bank bigger, so life expectancy
is not 79 but 99 - and is the quality of those remaining seconds really of
value ? Are you sitting isolated, or are you on line and physically vital,
or are components of your decaying, aging body being replaced by microchips
and electronic components as you yourself are becoming partly a robot - an
automaton.
The discoveries to be made this century are going to be mind boggling - or
we might have a century that is fairly tranquil.
Since Newton we have had quite a bit of technological advance - maybe we
are due for a quiet period. I don't know.
If we get a clear unmistakable signal from outside our solar system from
intelligent beings, all of these problems will disappear from our radar screens.
Today we believe that the speed of light is the limit - maybe it is not.
Or I might be wrong.
DPlanet: Thank you.
|